Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 2096.814194 2276.334327 2457.813405 2654.714326 2862.019163 3073.507829 3305.274475
2025-06-08 1775.416432 2041.294196 2320.119426 2633.128124 2973.525868 3331.356025 3734.789956
2025-06-15 1618.963316 1941.081192 2287.911496 2686.640712 3129.913696 3605.236445 4151.087693
2025-06-22 1474.218397 1834.167191 2230.744034 2696.011617 3222.861902 3797.087819 4466.382133
2025-06-29 1347.069298 1734.248249 2169.876837 2690.334779 3289.301339 3951.412766 4732.998399
2025-07-06 1199.420313 1599.130253 2058.516259 2617.358454 3270.758948 4002.937613 4877.733800
2025-07-13 1158.563934 1586.386739 2086.029976 2702.048011 3430.691503 4255.258632 5248.989790
2025-07-20 1100.819226 1548.549007 2079.923936 2743.815771 3538.035371 4445.416207 5548.061086
2025-07-27 1033.234761 1494.039003 2049.902309 2753.639602 3604.981877 4586.710230 5789.319084
2025-08-03 965.320343 1434.956556 2010.723506 2749.189039 3652.278523 4703.028012 6000.078828
2025-08-10 912.795789 1392.451963 1989.410432 2764.220005 3721.107079 4843.421829 6238.299519
2025-08-17 852.240251 1336.065513 1947.757665 2751.506116 3754.144895 4939.722569 6423.378057
2025-08-24 812.031648 1305.568329 1938.597343 2779.683141 3838.374916 5099.311160 6686.863054
2025-08-31 753.681448 1247.552168 1891.537070 2757.989165 3859.623812 5182.257351 6858.636437
2025-09-07 730.757266 1236.955555 1905.353002 2813.187268 3976.114942 5380.636249 7169.562094
2025-09-14 691.929735 1201.889982 1885.018032 2822.854650 4034.376530 5507.303888 7393.612977
2025-09-21 650.076777 1160.261614 1854.014659 2816.998408 4071.736629 5607.460981 7585.013282
2025-09-28 586.517489 1083.591452 1772.399361 2741.704781 4018.084695 5593.113361 7634.807086
2025-10-05 582.924130 1095.701348 1812.951997 2829.081664 4174.002439 5840.168374 8006.910091
2025-10-12 564.853689 1084.914440 1820.869415 2872.164642 4272.405423 6015.469611 8291.023712
2025-10-19 537.241262 1058.079825 1805.087455 2882.296863 4327.304999 6135.867585 8507.222062
2025-10-26 506.723406 1025.129676 1779.311716 2877.706633 4362.102670 6230.412739 8691.113557
2025-11-02 484.027532 1003.383730 1768.701094 2893.209006 4422.894994 6357.726292 8916.059218